Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.025858 0.027820 0.029868 0.032168 0.034682 0.037349 0.040398
2025-01-26 0.022673 0.025469 0.028540 0.032176 0.036376 0.041093 0.046815
2025-02-02 0.020757 0.024086 0.027887 0.032574 0.038229 0.044872 0.053326
2025-02-09 0.018974 0.022587 0.026842 0.032261 0.039033 0.047287 0.058220
2025-02-16 0.017638 0.021455 0.026071 0.032115 0.039903 0.049708 0.063164
2025-02-23 0.016480 0.020426 0.025307 0.031857 0.040527 0.051764 0.067688
2025-03-02 0.015592 0.019657 0.024788 0.031831 0.041390 0.054117 0.072702
2025-03-09 0.014650 0.018746 0.024012 0.031384 0.041614 0.055568 0.076510
2025-03-16 0.013758 0.017841 0.023177 0.030783 0.041553 0.056575 0.079695
2025-03-23 0.013073 0.017170 0.022607 0.030494 0.041881 0.058111 0.083719
2025-03-30 0.012456 0.016555 0.022074 0.030211 0.042178 0.059588 0.087718
2025-04-06 0.011774 0.015812 0.021322 0.029563 0.041885 0.060148 0.090297
2025-04-13 0.011437 0.015541 0.021223 0.029861 0.043022 0.062946 0.096662
2025-04-20 0.011018 0.015133 0.020906 0.029815 0.043626 0.064949 0.101879
2025-04-27 0.010747 0.014923 0.020861 0.030167 0.044853 0.067993 0.109053
2025-05-04 0.010316 0.014458 0.020416 0.029878 0.045043 0.069364 0.113444
2025-05-11 0.009956 0.014082 0.020086 0.029744 0.045464 0.071123 0.118630
2025-05-18 0.009594 0.013687 0.019705 0.029508 0.045696 0.072567 0.123341
2025-05-25 0.009310 0.013395 0.019469 0.029485 0.046271 0.074615 0.129306
2025-06-01 0.008948 0.012971 0.019009 0.029077 0.046168 0.075471 0.133078
2025-06-08 0.008573 0.012515 0.018480 0.028528 0.045792 0.075811 0.135864
2025-06-15 0.008286 0.012183 0.018134 0.028263 0.045889 0.076997 0.140388
2025-06-22 0.008016 0.011868 0.017802 0.028005 0.045979 0.078165 0.144957